Toxic Accounts

From Greenwashing to Gaslighting

In February 2022, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine disrupted global energy markets and shifted attention towards energy security. Today, we’re seeing the fragility of the global fossil fuel markets due to the escalation involving Iran and the wider Middle East, which is spiking oil prices. In previous years, especially after the Paris Agreement, several oil majors had set net zero ambitions and committed to a sustainable transition, even though they continued to invest in fossil fuels. However, once oil and gas companies experienced record profits in 2022, they abandoned transition plans and refocused on fossil fuel production and shareholder returns.

In a first-of-its-kind research project, Clean Creatives has decoded the narrative shifts in fossil fuel campaigns between 2020 and 2024, detailing how narrative strategy in oil and gas companies' advertising and PR campaigns has shifted. 

Our evidence documents how, between 2020 and 2024, oil and gas campaigns shifted from setting climate targets and saying “we’re part of the solution” to emphasizing fossil fuel dependence and convincing people “you can’t live without us.” In parallel, we saw shareholders follow suit and move from supporting climate action to prioritizing fossil fuel profitability.

Oil majors have always been preoccupied with social license, but now, the fossil fuel industry is radicalizing. Companies like BP and Shell, which have a history of greenwashing and made net zero pledges in 2020. Now they are going all in on fossil fuels. They’re advertising false solutions like CCS, natural gas and biofuels, which increase fossil fuel dependence. 

Greenwashing is no longer the core strategy of the fossil fuel industry — it’s about power and political influence. 

For decades, advertising and PR agencies have helped oil and gas companies manufacture climate doubt, spread disinformation and delay decarbonization. Today, their tactics are becoming increasingly manipulative and strategic, aimed at convincing people that we can't live without fossil fuels, when, in fact, 91% of renewable projects are cheaper and more reliable than fossil fuel alternatives. 2025 marked the first year renewables overtook coal in the global electricity mix. 

The world has moved on from fossil fuels, but oil companies want to keep you hooked. They may be trying to differentiate themselves, but they are all following the same playbook. Over the years, their narrative strategy has moved from climate leadership (2021) to energy security (2022) to using a “both, and” narrative to promote fossil fuel expansion and emissions reduction (2023) to asserting fossil fuel dependence (2024).

Toxic Accounts is the first-ever qualitative project to decode the narrative shifts in fossil fuel campaigns between 2020 and 2024 and present the new oil and gas playbook.

Writer and Head of Research: Nayantara Dutta

Research by Source Nine Insights

Timeline animation by Fionn McSherry

Methodology

At Clean Creatives, we have been tracking the fossil fuel industry and its ad campaigns since 2020. We developed this study to investigate whether there had been a narrative shift where greenwashing was no longer the focus of fossil fuel campaigns. We found much stronger support for our hypothesis than expected, and clear and conclusive evidence to suggest that we are in a new era of oil and gas communication, which is all about fossil fuel dominance.

We analyzed 1,859 campaign materials from BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil and Shell between 2020 and 2024 to identify the emotional needs they address and narrative shifts they indicate. We chose these four oil majors as they operate globally, faced pressure to change their strategy in response to global politics, and released several creative campaigns during this time period. We excluded TotalEnergies and Petronas due to a lack of creative work available for analysis and did not include local oil majors, as they would not have been exposed to the same pressure to transition.

To build our dataset, our research partners at Source Nine Insights created a custom GPT to collect, condense, and organise publicly available campaign materials from these oil majors from 2020 to 2024. This includes YouTube videos, social media posts and digital ads on Facebook, LinkedIn, TikTok and Instagram, executive speeches, press releases, interviews, and TV commercials on iSpot.tv, Ad Forum and Ads of the World.

After receiving the raw data, Clean Creatives evaluated each primary source and developed a summary of keywords and key themes. Separately, Source Nine used their custom GPT to analyze the raw data and develop outputs including the narrative strategy tables. Clean Creatives built our own analysis and narrative tables based on primary review of sources, without referencing Source Nine’s AI analysis.

Lastly, we compared our findings with Source Nine’s AI analysis. We discovered that they had only one area of overlap in the key themes indicated in the narrative strategy tables, which we’ve included. This report reflects Clean Creatives’ primary analysis. 

Although our analysis had a global scope, we found the narrative shift most prominent in campaigns from the U.S. and U.K. and have focused on those case studies in this report. During this period, creative work from Asia and the Middle East largely continued its usual focus on family values, brand loyalty, cost savings, and purpose-washing

Fossil fuel campaigns have been influenced by geopolitics, but we found that this narrative shift followed its own timeline, independent of political influences. It does not coincide with electoral cycles or any other shifts in global politics. Instead, it reflects a clear and strategic agenda for fossil fuel domination developed by the oil and gas industry.

Key findings

  • Oil and gas companies are following a common playbook. Their marketing has shifted from clean energy to lying and manipulating the public into believing we need fossil fuels for a safe future, even though clean energy is cheaper, faster, and more reliable. 

  • They are selling fossil fuels as false renewable solutions. Instead of actually investing in renewables, oil and gas companies are promoting natural gas and CCS as sustainable technologies, even though they are derived from fossil fuels, will not work at scale, and will delay decarbonization.

  • False solutions are making it harder for us to agree on a path forward. By promoting CCS and biofuels as legitimate technologies, oil majors are concealing the fact that renewable energy is the best available solution. As a result, greenwashing becomes both intentional, by the companies spreading these narratives, and accidental, by the people who believe them. 

  • Marketing campaigns are delaying a clean energy transition by presenting oil and gas as the only solution for energy security and economic stability. In fact, oil and gas demand has only increased because oil majors and governments are causing a “slower adoption of renewable technologies”, which has made it “inevitable” that we will overshoot the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C global warming target.

  • Nobody can make a sustainable transition due to the wider systemic pressures. These companies have to follow whoever is winning. The urgency of the transition has gone, and it’s all about shareholder value and short-term returns. There is an absence of leadership to step in and recognize this problem.

  • Oil majors are on a path of mutual destruction. Any illusion that agencies could nudge fossil fuel clients toward transition is gone. Oil and gas companies aren't interested in transitioning; they're prioritizing short-term returns and doubling down on fossil fuels.

Timeline

A table describing this 4 narrative changes from 2020-today with images from ads from those years.

False solutions

These narrative tables explain how the oil major's advertising changed across four dimensions:

  • Advertising themes are the topics and messages their campaigns focused on.

  • Strategic focus describes the underlying business or political objective those campaigns were designed to serve.

  • Emotional needs addressed refers to a tool in advertising: the psychological desires a campaign is built to activate in its audience.

  • Narrative shifts are the fundamental claims the oil major is making about itself and its role in the world.

An amendment was made on March 17, 2026 to correct the phrase “2025 marked the first year renewables overtook coal in the global energy mix.” This has been corrected to “overtook coal in the global electricity mix.” 

Thank You & Next Steps

Toxic Accounts reveals a significant shift in fossil fuel advertising, from climate leadership to fossil fuel dominance. We invite you to share this research with your teams and clients using our deck and timeline video.

If you have any questions or data requests, please contact nayantara@fossilfree.media.

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